18 Mart 2020 р.Modeling of development processes of bilateral trade and economic integration between countries(1,6 MB) Downloaded : Яценко Ольга Миколаївна Type of publication : Other materials Discipline : Paradigms of Regional Development: Theory and Policy Link: /en/Information_for/students/metod/ktidp&act=p_id(9086)Abstract.
The article dwells upon the main stages of analyzing economic effects of the free trade area between countries, while reviewing
features of bilateral trade and economic cooperation between Ukraine and Canada in terms of global transformations. The article
identifies opportunities and threats as well as strengths and weaknesses of bilateral relations under contemporary integration
processes, while also providing substantiation of the promising areas of bilateral trade and economic cooperation between
countries.
The article comprises a gravity model and a forecast of quantitative indicators related to bilateral trade between Ukraine and
Canada for the period of up to 2021 developed by the authors based on this model. Using the gravity modeling method, the
impact of economic crisis manifestations in Ukraine and Canada on trade turnover between them has been assessed, while a
conclusion has been drawn that the greatest impact on bilateral trade is produced by Canada’s GDP, whereas the change in price
of logistical costs produces little effect on the turnover. The quantitative indicators of foreign trade between the two countries
have been forecast under two scenarios: without the free trade area and with the latter created in 2017. Under the first scenario,
a slight increase in trade turnover is expected due to the slow growth of GDP values both in Canada and Ukraine. Under the
second scenario, by 2021 the trade turnover between the countries will increase twice and amount to USD 411 million.
Keywords: Canada; Ukraine; Trade; Bilateral Relations; Trade and Economic Cooperation; Free Trade Area (FTA); Agreement;
Gravity Model; Integration
JEL Classіfіcatіon: C23; F15; F17Місцезнаходження публікації
18 Mart 2020 р.Global dominants of Chinese trade policy development: Opportunities and threats for cooperation with Ukraine(512,7 KB) Downloaded : Яценко Ольга Миколаївна Type of publication : Other materials Discipline : Paradigms of Regional Development: Theory and Policy Link: /en/Information_for/students/metod/ktidp&act=p_id(9087)Abstract. Growth of PRC’s influence as a leading trade country has consequences for its trading partners; at the same time, over the past years China has become one of Ukraine’s major trading partners. Studying current specificities of the countries’ bilateral trade, opportunities and threats relating to it, developmental perspectives of trade-economic cooperation between Ukraine and PRC therefore certainly warrents further research. This article’s aim is to study specificities of trade-economic cooperation between Ukraine and PRC; to ascertain dependence between national economic growth and the export to China; and to define strategic tasks of the countries’ cooperation for the time period until 2030. The main factors which influence strategic development of partner economic relations between Ukraine and China are determined on the basis of SWOT-analysis. A significance of China as a trade partner of Ukraine is defined and institutional basis for their trade relations is described. Direct dependence between trade turnover and gross domestic product of the countries is determined on the basis of modeled data using empiric gravitation model tools. Prospective directions of trade-economic relations are defined.
Keywords: China, Ukraine, trade-economic cooperation, trade policy, international trade.
JEL Classification: F14, О53Місцезнаходження публікації